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Just About Everyone In Florida Has Already Decided Who To Vote For

Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly polling roundup. Poll of the week New Quinnipiac University polls of the gubernatorial and Senate races in Florida found that both are neck and neck, with voters almost evenly split between the Democratic and Republican candidates. That’s not all that surprising in a perpetual swing state like Florida. But here’s …

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Why Democrats Were Willing To Break The Rules On Kavanaugh Day 3

Who wouldn’t want to spend the day watching a Supreme Court nomination hearing? FiveThirtyEight is tracking Brett Kavanaugh’s testimony in the Senate all week long, and some of our writers will be offering their thoughts after each day’s action. Today, Oliver Roeder and Perry Bacon Jr. each filed a dispatch. There is an ideological light …

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Here’s A New, Less Volatile Version Of Our Generic Ballot Tracker

On Tuesday morning, a poll came out from ABC News and The Washington Post showing Democrats ahead by 14 percentage points on the generic congressional ballot. On Wednesday morning, another generic ballot poll, from Selzer & Co., also rated as an A+ pollster by FiveThirtyEight, had Democrats ahead by only 2 percentage points. True, these …

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